The recent fall in the Australian dollar against the US dollar is more a matter of the US dollar being strong than the Australian dollar being weak.
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Repeatedly boasting about the past won’t distract from the fact Australia’s economy is looking shaky.
The Australian economy continues to show some positive signs, but there are pockets of weakness and cause for concern every month.
Inflation has been stubbornly low in Australia, and the RBA remains concerned about a high Australian dollar.
All in all this was a fairly positive week for global economies.
Central banks around the world are struggling with the failure of low (or negative) interest rates to breathe life back into ailing economies.
All economic data is pointing to disappointing global growth.
Vital Signs is a weekly economic wrap from UNSW economics professor and Harvard PhD Richard Holden (@profholden). Vital Signs aims to contextualise weekly economic events and cut through the noise of the…
Worse than expected business investment in both manufacturing and mining provides another nod towards secular stagnation.
We are all still learning the rules of the “secularly stagnant” global economy.
Expect the higher dollar to put strong downward pressure on already low interest rates.
Low inflation gives the RBA scope to cut rates in coming months but a lot will turn on whether we continue to see persistently weak GDP growth.
The reporting of “higher than expected” inflation seemed a bit overblown.
The global economy is in a delicate position, which is why so many are fixated on this month’s US decision on interest rates.
What is the new normal for the Australian economy? With unemployment rising, commodity prices reaching new lows, and confidence subdued, is the Australian economy prepared to handle offshore headwinds…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The Australian dollar is a curious currency. It is the fifth most traded in the world and it gyrates pretty wildly – having traded below 48 US cents and above 110 in the decade or so from mid 2001 to 2011…
In an interview with the Australian Financial Review last week, Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens suggested the Australian dollar might fall to US75 cents in 2015. And he intimated that it wouldn’t be…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
To navigate the timeline below, hover your mouse on the right (and on the left to move back). Further reading The float Australia had to have? Intervene or wait? The RBA faces a tricky path to a lower…
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Scientia Professor of Economics, UNSW
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Associate Professor, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
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Professor, Finance, The University of Western Australia
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Professor of Economics, Monash University
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Senior lecturer, Canberra School of Government, University of Canberra