In closely contested House and Senate races, even a small shift in union votes could influence the outcome.
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Despite their high confidence overall, almost half of surveyed election officials worried about the cost of running elections.
Progressive Abdul El-Sayed will face Republican nominee Mike Rogers this November.
To manipulate voter perception, political action committees are adopting names that signal the opposite political goals from what those groups intend. And research shows the strategy is working.
More Americans now hold absolutist positions, supporting legal access to abortion in all or most cases and opposing government regulation altogether.
Why would a young Republican back solar but reject a carbon tax? Twenty years of survey data shows climate opinion is more complex than party labels suggest.
Sen. Graham repeatedly moved in the direction South Carolina and Republican politics were headed rather than where they had been.
While discord exists over the meaning of the 250th anniversary, Americans strongly believe there is more that unites the country than divides it.
Graham Platner’s Senate campaign has imploded amid credible accusations of rape. A Maine political scientist looks at what happened and how the populist Platner resembles Donald Trump in key ways.
Polarization and negative partisanship have lowered the standards for whom Americans are willing to support.
The rapidly growing popularity of prediction markets is sparking worries about the markets’ effects on US politics, where campaign staff has bet on its candidate’s electoral performance.
Campaign contributions among House members show how parties build influence, protect vulnerable members and respond to election pressures.
Some states are trying to challenge a long-held precedent that undocumented children are allowed to attend public school free of charge.
Class-war rhetoric from Democratic candidates jams working-class voters into a prefabricated progressive agenda, an expert on rural and working-class communities argues.
The Democrats have a good chance at winning both houses of Congress, but the Republicans still have some advantages.
The Supreme Court has barred considering race when crafting legislative districts. But race could remain embedded in political gerrymandering, despite vehement claims to the contrary.
If a Supreme Court justice retires before the November midterms, this is how Trump and Senate Republicans can successfully confirm a successor.
The forecasts are moving in the Democrats direction, especially for taking control of the House.
Trump’s net approval has never been lower, while Democrats had a 25-point swing in their favour in a federal special election.
Trump promised to fix the economy, and that helped increase his Latino support in 2024. But the cost of living and ICE raids may be bringing Latinos back to the Democrats in 2026.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Boise State University
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Non-resident Senior Fellow, United States Study Centre, University of Sydney
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W. Alton Jones Professor of Philosophy, Vanderbilt University
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Adjunct Senior Fellow, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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William Nelson Cromwell Professor of Jurisprudence and Political Science, Amherst College
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Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Dayton
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Lecturer in International Studies and Politics, Ulster University; Queen's University Belfast
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Political History Curator, Smithsonian Institution
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Provost Professor of Political Science, UMass Amherst
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Professor in U.S. Politics and U.S. Foreign Relations, United States Studies Centre,, University of Sydney
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Professor of Political Science, Hartwick College
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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Professor of Political Science, North Carolina State University