This is Labor’s second lowest ever primary vote in Newspoll, which they had last equalled in April 2012 when Julia Gillard was prime minister.
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The gain means Labor’s two-party vote against One Nation would likely drop.
Despite a slump in Albanese’s approval rate, he maintains a comfortable lead as preferred prime minister.
With a new premier in Ben Carroll, Labor’s chances of winning the November election are likely to improve.
After a post-Press Club address slump, One Nation has picked up again in the polls.
With a state election set for late November, a new poll has One Nation ahead of the two major parties.
Support for Labor and the Greens combined is up five points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 44% in Redbridge.
Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumped seven points to -24, a record low below his previous record low -21 in February 2025.
The budget is among the most worst rating since Newspoll started surveying people about it in 1988, but Labor remains ahead.
The latest batch of polling shows some mixed results for both the prime minister and the opposition leader.
The government is yet to see any major backlash in the polls over the fuel crisis, with most voters blaming Donald Trump instead.
Opposition to the Iran war is very strong in Australia, but so far the government has not been damaged by it in the polls.
Labor is set to win the South Australian election easily. But there is much interest in how One Nation and the Liberals will fare.
New polling shows One Nation’s surge continuing, while the Liberals face oblivion in South Australia.
What do Australians in focus groups say about the Liberal Party right now? “They just kind of laugh,” the former Liberal staffer turned pollster says.
On current polling, the Coalition would struggle to win ten of the 150 House of Representatives seats.
Meanwhile, the Coalition continues to struggle in all polls, leaking votes to One Nation.
Albanese’s net approval slumped 15 points to -9, the lowest it has been in this poll since the May election.
Federal Labor continues to poll strongly as the Coalition wrestles with climate policy. Meanwhile, Victorian Labor’s polling continues to be dire.
The Coalition’s primary vote fell to 24%, just nine points higher than One Nation. One Nation could be on track to overtake the Coalition as the main right-wing party.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Vice-Chancellor and President, University of Canberra
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Emeritus professor, Southern Cross University
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Professor, the McKinnon Institute for Political Leadership, Monash University
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Professor of Politics, Griffith University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Tony Walker AM is a Friend of The Conversation.
Director, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Clinical Ethics and Health Law, University of Newcastle
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Professor, Canberra School of Government, University of Canberra
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia