How to read the signals in the markets.
Articles on US treasuries
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The US depends heavily on global bond markets to fund its public spending.
US government debt is soaring and foreign investors are getting nervous. We don’t really know where the tipping point is.
It could be a sign that investors no longer see US Treasuries as a safe bet.
Big interest rate hikes could cause more market turmoil, while doing too little could have the same effect.
Lenders face a lot of risks, but two of them – interest rate and liquidity – were the main drivers of the sudden and rapid failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. That’s why more trouble may be ahead for the banking sector.
Normally investors view the future as more uncertain than the present. When that turns on its head, it’s often a bad omen.
Top contributors
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PhD Candidate in Economics, SOAS, University of London
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Surrey
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Associate Professor of Economics, Indiana University
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Professor of Finance and Fred T. Tattersall Excellence in Finance Research Chair, West Virginia University
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Lecturer in Banking and Finance Law, Queen Mary University of London
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sydney