About three months out from the Victorian state election, the five polls released since the state got a new premier all show the Coalition in front.
Articles on Opinion polls
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Both Redbridge and YouGov polls have Pauline Hanson’s party ahead of the government, before preferences.
AI models can simulate the answers thousands of people would provide to a survey, but the results aren’t a reliable measure of what real people would actually say.
A Redbridge MRP poll has Labor winning 76 seats. The Coalition would secure just 12 seats in the House of Representatives compared to One Nation’s 53.
Even before the US-Israeli war on Iran this year, many of America’s allies had a lack of confidence in the Trump administration.
Anthony Albanese’s net favourability is up, according to a national Redbridge and Accent Research poll.
Applying 2025 election preference flows would give Labor below a 51–49 lead over the Coalition, their worst result since their re-election in 2025.
Early voting has begun in the island state’s snap election - but the pollsters can’t decide which party might win.
Authoritarian attitudes – the desire for social conformity and an aversion to difference – play an important role in Americans’ willingness to restrict transgender rights.
In January, the governing Liberals were more than 20 points behind in the polls, but with an election just days away, they’re now well ahead.
Anthony Albanese is improving in the preferred prime minister stakes, but the overall margins remain tight.
After achieving the biggest parliamentary majority in Australian history in 2021, polls predict Labor will hold onto power comfortably.
Results from NewsPoll, Morgan, YouGov and RedBridge all put the Coalition ahead.
Conflicting polls can make it seem like Americans back Trump’s deportation plan. A psychologist and survey researcher explains how to make sense of the numbers.
Anthony Albanese won’t want to be the leader of the first incumbent government not to be re-elected after its first term since the 1930s, but it’s an uphill battle.
Now that almost all votes have been counted it’s clear how close this race really was.
Does a poll lead increase your poll lead? The science of bandwagon effects explained.
The Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, is opposed to a two-state solution, but many ordinary Israelis and Palestinians don’t feel the same way.
As war drags on, more Ukrainians say that they are prepared to negotiate – but the majority still reject any deal with Russia.
Recent opinion polls show American are very gloomy on both the economy and Biden.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research
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Professor of Statistics, Queensland University of Technology
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Professor, Future Fellow and Head of Statistics at UNSW, and a Deputy Director of the Australian Centre of Excellence in Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), UNSW
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Assistant lecturer, University of Groningen
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Professor of Communication, Cardiff University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Professor of Political Science, University of Edinburgh
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Senior Research Director (Social Attitudes), ScotCen Social Research
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Manchester
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Professor and Program Head, Justice Health Research Program, UNSW
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Emeritus Professor of Sociology, University of Technology Sydney
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Professor of Government, University of Essex