Storms like 2026’s Hurricane Polo that rapidly intensify can catch communities off guard and leave little time to prepare or evacuate. Being able to forecast those risks can save lives.
Articles on Weather forecasting
Displaying 1 - 20 of 141 articles
Even with today’s forecasting technology, D-Day would not have been an easy call as portrayed in the new movie, Pressure.
Extreme storm surges can be predicted much faster with high accuracy thanks to a new AI model that helps researchers and practitioners improve coastal flood risk assessment and adaptation planning.
Twin cyclones helped trigger massive ocean warming in the Pacific. But whether that leads to a strong El Niño is still uncertain. Here’s what you need to know.
Don’t blame the weatherman. A meteorologist explains where your local weather forecasts really come from, and what storm scientists are doing to bring them closer to home.
History also shows that many of the fanciful engineering ideas for Greenland failed because they misjudged the island’s harsh climate and dynamic ice sheet.
Here’s what snow forecasters are watching, and why skiers and other snow lovers shouldn’t lose hope.
Caribbean territories such as Puerto Rico say their information is inferior to that received in the continental US.
The backlash was swift and intense. Now the Bureau of Meteorology will have to make changes to its new website.
Storm surge is the No. 1 cause of deaths and damage during a hurricane, yet detailed storm surge forecasts are difficult to create. AI could turn that around.
AI models can deliver localized forecasts faster and cheaper than traditional models. The challenge is getting this technology where it’s needed.
Current models for weather forecasting tend to ignore outlier data; learning how to incorporate these can help reduce risk and increase community resiliency.
NOAA’s preseason forecast is the 30,000-foot view of what’s likely. Here’s what forecasters will be watching for over the weeks and months ahead.
Australia relies on satellites it doesn’t own – which creates a risky situation.
NOAA operates fleets of satellites, sensors on airplanes and ocean-going buoys, as well as radar, providing the data used by weather forecasters nationwide – and freely available to anyone.
Weather and climate models are both governed by the same physical processes. But that’s where most of the similarities end.
Why ‘sensitive dependence on initial conditions’ makes predicting the future so hard.
Much of the country is sweltering under extreme heat that was very well forecast. But seemingly minor factors can make a big difference to what happens on the day.
Machine learning systems may make weather forecasts faster and cheaper – but climate projections still remain beyond their grasp.
With Hurricanes Helene and Milton reminding us of the destructive force of such storms, the tropical cyclone forecast for Australia is for an average number but with a higher risk of severe cyclones.
Top contributors
-
Professor of Atmospheric Science and Colorado State Climatologist, Colorado State University
-
Regius Professor of Meteorology and Climate Science, University of Reading
-
Professor of Practice in Meteorology, Professor of International Affairs & Director Center for Solutions to Weather and Climate Risk, Penn State
-
Adjunct Professor (Practice) in the School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University
-
Professor of Physical Geography, University of the Witwatersrand
-
Professor of Climate Change Impacts, Newcastle University
-
Distinguished Professor of Meteorology, Penn State
-
ARC Future Fellow and Associate Professor in Climate Science, ARC Centre of Excellence for 21st Century Weather, The University of Melbourne
-
Professor in Tourism Geography, University of Johannesburg
-
Professor emeritus, The University of Melbourne
-
Professor emeritus, School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University
-
Senior Meteorologist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
-
Senior Research Associate, UNSW
-
Principal Research Scientist, CSIRO
-
Researcher, Agricultural Research Council